Lithium-ion batteries (LiBs) are pivotal in the shift towards electric mobility, having seen an 85 % reduction in production costs over the past decade. However, achieving even more significant cost reducti.
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study presents a comprehensive analysis of projected produc-tion costs for lithium-ion batteries by 2030, focusing on essential metals. It explores the complex interplay of
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Consumer batteries: Mainly used in mobile phones, laptops, smart wearable devices, power tools and other fields 2023, global consumer lithium battery shipments will
Data until March 2023. Lithium-ion battery prices (including the pack and cell) represent the global volume-weighted average across all sectors. Nickel prices are based on the London Metal Exchange, used here as a proxy for global
However, a high-volume market for all components of battery cells except cathode active material is assumed , meaning that the unit price of all components in a battery cell except cathode active material are independent of factory size. The latter approach is adopted in this work.
Within the historical period, cost reductions resulting from cathode active materials (CAMs) prices and enhancements in specific energy of battery cells are the most cost-reducing factors, whereas the scrap rate development mechanism is concluded to be the most influential factor in the following years.
Data until March 2023. Lithium-ion battery prices (including the pack and cell) represent the global volume-weighted average across all sectors. Nickel prices are based on the London Metal Exchange, used here as a proxy for global pricing, although most nickel trade takes place through direct contracts between producers and consumers.
These studies anticipate a wide cost range from 20 US$/kWh to 750 US$/kWh by 2030, highlighting the variability in expert forecasts due to factors such as group size of interviewees, expertise, evolving battery technology, production advancements, and material price fluctuations .
Driven by this, the output of LFP battery technology outstripped the NMC output in May 2021 in China , a country with a 79 % share in the global lithium-ion battery manufacturing capacity in 2021 . As can be seen above, the prediction for the market share of LiB technologies in the following years is challenging.
The average LiB cell cost for all battery types in their work stands approximately at 470 US$.kWh −1. A range of 305 to 460.9 US$.kWh −1 is reported for 2010 in other studies [75, 100, 101]. Moreover, the generic historical LiB cost trajectory is in good agreement with other works mentioned in Fig. 6, particularly, the Bloomberg report .
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